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Subject: FPA Journal - When Should Women Claim Social Security Benefits?
Date: Wed, 20 Jun 2007 13:41:55 -0600
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            <DIV class=3DCS_Textblock_Text><STRONG><FONT=20
            color=3D#8b0000>Contribution<BR><SPAN =
class=3DJorGenPgHeader>When Should=20
            Women Claim&nbsp;Social Security Benefits?<BR><SPAN=20
            class=3DJorGenPgText>by Alicia H. Munnell and Mauricio=20
            Soto<BR></SPAN></SPAN>&nbsp;</FONT></STRONG>=20
            &nbsp;</DIV></SPAN></SPAN></DIV></SPAN><FONT =
size=3D1><BR></FONT><SPAN=20
            class=3DCS_Element_Schedule><SPAN id=3D54488-9313><SPAN=20
            class=3DCS_Element_Layout>
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cellSpacing=3D0=20
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                <TD class=3DCS_Layout_TD id=3DidCell9314x1x1><SPAN=20
                  class=3DCS_Element_Textblock>
                  <DIV id=3D54488-9332><SPAN =
class=3DCS_Element_Textblock><SPAN=20
                  class=3DCS_Generic_Text>
                  <DIV class=3DCS_Textblock_Text>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>Executive =
Summary</SPAN></P>
                  <UL>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>This paper summarizes =
the=20
                    incentives facing older women when deciding when to =
claim=20
                    their Social Security benefits. Nearly 60 percent of =
women=20
                    opt for actuarially reduced benefits at age 62=97a =
greater=20
                    percentage than men. Yet women are expected to live =
longer=20
                    than men. Longer life expectancy would generally =
suggest=20
                    delaying Social Security benefits. But the analysis =
shows=20
                    that single women and married women face very =
different=20
                    choices.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Married women are =
entitled to=20
                    three types of benefits: (1) benefits based on their =
own=20
                    earning records, (2) spouse's benefits based on =
their=20
                    husband's earning records, or (3) survivor's benefit =
equal=20
                    to 100 percent of their husband's benefits. These =
benefits=20
                    are reduced if claimed earlier than the full =
retirement=20
                    age.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>From the authors' =
study, two=20
                    key points emerge. First, in the case of survivors'=20
                    benefits, the husband usually can maximize the =
benefits of=20
                    the couple or his surviving wife by delaying his=20
                    claim.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Second, the wife is =
usually=20
                    better off claiming her own Social Security benefits =
as=20
                    early as possible, though this can change depending =
what=20
                    percentage her own benefits are of her husband's=20
                    benefits.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>For most married =
women, the=20
                    Social Security benefit structure actually =
encourages them=20
                    to grab their benefits as soon as possible. While =
this may=20
                    maximize the wife's Social Security "wealth," it =
also=20
                    encourages them to withdraw from the labor force, =
creating a=20
                    loss of earnings and 401(k) savings, and extending =
the=20
                    period over which they need to support themselves in =

                    retirement.</SPAN></LI></UL>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><EM>Alicia H. Munnell is =
the Peter=20
                  F. Drucker Professor of Management Sciences in Boston=20
                  College's Carroll School of Management and director of =
the=20
                  Center for Retirement Research at Boston College in =
Chestnut=20
                  Hill, Massachusetts.</EM></SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><EM>Mauricio Soto is a =
senior=20
                  research associate at the Center for Retirement =
Research at=20
                  Boston College in Chestnut Hill,=20
Massachusetts.</EM></SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>If individuals continue =
to=20
                  withdraw completely from the labor force in their =
early=20
                  sixties, a large and growing number will be hard =
pressed to=20
                  maintain an adequate standard of living throughout =
retirement.=20
                  Economic and demographic pressures are gradually =
eroding key=20
                  sources of retirement income; at the same time =
increases in=20
                  life expectancy mean that people can expect to live =
for 20=20
                  years, on average, after they stop working. But =
averages do=20
                  not tell the whole story. Nearly one-third of women =
and almost=20
                  one-fifth of men will live into their=20
                  nineties.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>Women's low wages, interrupted =
work=20
                  histories, and role as caregivers make them especially =

                  vulnerable in old age. A solution to the income =
security=20
                  challenge, with a potentially enormous payoff, is for =
women to=20
                  work longer. One important benefit of continued =
employment=97in=20
                  addition to increasing current income, allowing =
additional=20
                  401(k) contributions, and postponing the drawdown of=20
                  savings=97is avoiding the actuarial reduction, or =
enjoying the=20
                  actuarial increase, in Social Security benefits. The =
higher=20
                  benefits are particularly important for women who, on =
average,=20
                  have much longer life expectancy. Unfortunately, =
women, even=20
                  more than men, tend to claim Social Security benefits =
as soon=20
                  as they become available. The question is,=20
                  why?<BR>&nbsp;<BR>This paper summarizes the incentives =
facing=20
                  older women when claiming their Social Security =
benefits. The=20
                  analysis shows that single women and married women =
face very=20
                  different choices. For most married women, the Social =
Security=20
                  benefit structure actually encourages them to grab =
their=20
                  benefits as soon as possible. These incentives =
reinforce the=20
                  tendency for wives, who are usually younger, to retire =
when=20
                  their husbands do. Early claiming may maximize the =
wife's=20
                  Social Security "wealth," but it also encourages them =
to=20
                  withdraw from the labor force, creating a loss of =
earnings and=20
                  401(k) savings, and extending the period over which =
they need=20
                  to support themselves in retirement.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>A =
note of=20
                  caution is warranted here. The retirement decision =
entails=20
                  much more than maximizing the present discounted value =
of=20
                  Social Security benefits=97the presence of health =
insurance, the=20
                  value of leisure, and other sources of wealth and =
income=20
                  should be taken into account. But the decision of when =
to=20
                  claim benefits (whether individuals continue working =
or not)=20
                  is one of the major financial decisions of older =
households.=20
                  This paper indicates that there is an optimal claiming =

                  strategy for married couples. For most households, =
wives=20
                  should claim early and husbands should delay=20
                  claiming.</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>Early Claiming of =
Social=20
                  Security Benefits</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>The existence of Social =
Security's=20
                  earliest eligibility age (EEA) means that most =
Americans have=20
                  an important choice to make once they turn 62: claim =
reduced=20
                  Social Security benefits right away or delay until =
some later=20
                  date and receive a larger benefit.=B9 The adjustments =
in=20
                  benefits do not depend on the gender of the =
beneficiary. The=20
                  reductions are approximately actuarially equivalent =
for the=20
                  person with average life expectancy of the population. =
Monthly=20
                  benefits are lowered by an amount that offsets the =
longer=20
                  period for which they will be =
received.=B2<BR>&nbsp;<BR>The=20
                  precise amount of the reduction for early retirement =
depends=20
                  on when benefits are claimed relative to the full =
retirement=20
                  age (FRA). The fact that the FRA is rising from 65 to =
67=20
                  complicates the story. With an FRA of 65, a person who =
claims=20
                  benefits at age 62 receives monthly benefits 20 =
percent lower=20
                  than the full amount. The scheduled increase in the =
FRA from=20
                  age 65 to 67 raises the actuarial reduction for =
claiming=20
                  benefits at age 62 from 20 percent to 30 percent (see =
Table=20
                  1).=B3 At the same time, the delayed retirement =
credit, which=20
                  has been increasing, now provides an actuarially fair=20
                  adjustment for delaying claiming benefits beyond the =
full=20
                  retirement age.<SUP>4</SUP> Thus, on average, workers =
are=20
                  expected to receive the same lifetime benefits =
regardless of=20
                  when they claim benefits between ages 62 and 70. In =
the=20
                  following discussion, age 66 will be used as the full=20
                  retirement age=97the benchmark for full =
benefits.</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><IMG =
id=3D||CPIMAGE:54544|=20
                  height=3D183 alt=3D"Table 1" hspace=3D0=20
                  =
src=3D"http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2007_Issues/images/Munnell_=
Table_1.jpg"=20
                  width=3D556 border=3D0><BR>&nbsp;<BR>In 2003, 59 =
percent of women=20
                  and 53 percent of men opted to claim actuarially =
reduced=20
                  benefits at age 62 (see Table 2).<SUP>5</SUP> The fact =
that a=20
                  greater proportion of women than men claim benefits at =
this=20
                  age is somewhat surprising, since the women are =
expected to=20
                  live longer than the men and the actuarial adjustments =
are not=20
                  gender-specific.<SUP>6</SUP> A longer life expectancy =
means=20
                  that people will receive benefits for an extended =
period of=20
                  time, which makes the increase in monthly benefits =
from=20
                  postponing receipt more valuable (see Figure 1). That =
is,=20
                  individuals with average life expectancy of, say, 81 =
years,=20
                  will receive the same lifetime benefits if they claim=20
                  actuarially reduced benefits at 62 or full benefits =
four years=20
                  later at 66. But women at age 62 have a life =
expectancy that=20
                  is about three years longer than that for men. =
Therefore, more=20
                  women than men are likely to live beyond the =
"break-even age"=20
                  and would gain from postponing retirement past age 62. =
In=20
                  other words, women can make up for forgoing =
actuarially=20
                  reduced benefits at ages 62=9665 by claiming the full =
benefit at=20
                  age 66 and enjoying it over a longer life =
span.</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><IMG =
id=3D||CPIMAGE:54545|=20
                  height=3D271 alt=3D"Table 2 " hspace=3D0=20
                  =
src=3D"http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2007_Issues/images/Munnell_=
Table_2.jpg"=20
                  width=3D258 border=3D0></SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><IMG =
id=3D||CPIMAGE:54548|=20
                  height=3D423 alt=3D"Figure 1" hspace=3D0=20
                  =
src=3D"http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2007_Issues/images/Munnell_=
Figure_1.jpg"=20
                  width=3D555 border=3D0><BR>&nbsp;<BR>Using the =
scheduled actuarial=20
                  reductions and delayed credits for individuals born =
between=20
                  1943 and 1958 (the cohort for whom 66 will be the full =

                  retirement age) and a 3 percent real discount rate =
suggests a=20
                  break-even age of 81. The 1948 mortality tables =
project a life=20
                  expectancy at 62 equal to 80.0 for men and 82.6 for =
women.=20
                  With a 3 percent discount rate, men maximize expected=20
                  discounted present value of their own Social Security =
benefits=20
                  by claiming at age 62; women reach the maximum by =
claiming at=20
                  age 68, although the gain from delaying retirement is =
less=20
                  than 2 percent of the present discounted value of =
Social=20
                  Security benefits.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>Thus, one would expect =
a=20
                  smaller percentage of women than men to claim benefits =
at age=20
                  62=97just the opposite of the pattern shown in Table =
2. Clearly=20
                  other factors are at play.<BR><BR><SPAN=20
                  class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>The Claiming Behavior of =
Single=20
                  Women</SPAN></SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>One way to sort out the =
puzzle is=20
                  to look at the retirement patterns of men and women by =
marital=20
                  status. This information comes from the Health and =
Retirement=20
                  Study (HRS), a nationally representative survey of =
older=20
                  Americans.<SUP>7</SUP> Table 3 reports the =
distribution of=20
                  claiming ages for workers who claimed Social Security =
benefits=20
                  between 1992 and 2002.<BR><BR><IMG =
id=3D||CPIMAGE:54546|=20
                  height=3D247 alt=3D"Table 3" hspace=3D0=20
                  =
src=3D"http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2007_Issues/images/Munnell_=
Table_3.jpg"=20
                  width=3D552 border=3D0><BR>&nbsp;<BR>For single women, =
the pattern=20
                  is as predicted. A significantly smaller percentage of =
single=20
                  women claim benefits earlier than either married or =
single=20
                  men. That makes sense. Women, on average, live longer =
than the=20
                  break-even age, which means that they will enjoy the =
higher=20
                  benefits they gain from postponing retirement for =
enough=20
                  additional years to more than make up for forgoing =
benefits=20
                  from ages 62=9664. Thus, it is perfectly sensible that =
single=20
                  women are less likely than men to claim benefits =
early.<BR>But=20
                  what about married women? They are much more likely =
than men=20
                  to claim benefits early. Are these women acting =
irrationally=20
                  or are they responding to the incentives in the=20
                  system?</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>The Claiming =
Behavior of=20
                  Married Women</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><STRONG>Benefits =
available for=20
                  married women.</STRONG> Married women are entitled to =
one of=20
                  three types of benefits: (1) a benefit based on their =
own=20
                  earnings record; (2) a spouse's benefit equal to 50 =
percent of=20
                  their husband's primary insurance amount =
(PIA)=97regardless of=20
                  the age at which the husband claims benefits=97if that =
benefit=20
                  exceeds their own benefit; or (3) a survivor's benefit =
equal=20
                  to 100 percent of their husband's actual benefit if =
that=20
                  exceeds their own benefit (see sidebar, "Supplementary =

                  Benefits Available to Married Women"). The percentages =
are=20
                  reported at the full retirement age, and are lower if =
the=20
                  benefits are claimed early. For example, a woman =
claiming the=20
                  spouse's benefit at age 62 will receive only 35 =
percent of her=20
                  husband's primary insurance amount rather than the 50 =
percent=20
                  payable at age 66.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>These three different =
types of=20
                  benefits are shown in Figure 2 for a woman whose =
unreduced=20
                  Social Security benefit equals 40 percent of her =
husband's.=20
                  This example assumes that she and her husband are the =
same=20
                  age, her husband will claim benefits at 65, she will =
live to=20
                  90, and he will die at 80. The wife can claim benefits =
from=20
                  her own earnings history starting at age 62, although =
this=20
                  will cause a permanent reduction of her own benefits. =
Once her=20
                  husband retires, she will be eligible for the 50 =
percent of=20
                  her husband's benefit, which is reduced to reflect her =
early=20
                  claim of benefits. Once her husband dies, she will be =
entitled=20
                  to a survivor's benefit, which is mainly the =
continuation of=20
                  her deceased husband's benefit.</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><IMG =
id=3D||CPIMAGE:54549|=20
                  height=3D373 alt=3D"Figure 2" hspace=3D0=20
                  =
src=3D"http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2007_Issues/images/Munnell_=
Figure_2.jpg"=20
                  width=3D552 border=3D0><BR>&nbsp;<BR>An equivalent =
chart for the=20
                  household would just increase the section labeled =
"spousal=20
                  benefit" to 140 percent. The illustration is about =
women's=20
                  benefits to show that the survivor's benefits are an =
important=20
                  consideration, often overlooked, for the decision of =
when to=20
                  claim Social Security benefits.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>Two =
interesting=20
                  insights emerge from the stylized profile presented in =
Figure=20
                  2. First, from the wife's perspective, the decision as =
to when=20
                  to claim does not affect the survivor benefit. The =
survivor=20
                  benefit is solely determined by her husband's earnings =
history=20
                  and the actuarial reductions or increase to reflect =
his early=20
                  or delayed claiming. That is, from her perspective, =
the=20
                  survivor benefit is a fixed amount to be received =
after her=20
                  husband's death. To maximize that fixed annual amount, =
she=20
                  would like him to delay claiming. If the husband is =
trying to=20
                  maximize the benefits received by the couple, delay is =
also=20
                  his choice. Ironically, in this example, when the =
husband is=20
                  deciding when to claim benefits, it is his wife's life =

                  expectancy, rather than his own, that is the =
determining=20
                  consideration.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>Second, the decision the =
wife does=20
                  have control over is when to claim the benefits she =
receives=20
                  until the death of her husband. Her goal would be to =
maximize=20
                  the present value of these benefits over her lifetime. =
Again,=20
                  ironically, in this calculation her life expectancy =
becomes=20
                  irrelevant; the relevant life expectancy is that of =
her=20
                  husband. In this way, her choice mirrors that facing a =
single=20
                  man. Because these benefits are expected to be =
received for a=20
                  period shorter than the life expectancy of the average =
person,=20
                  she has an incentive to claim as soon as=20
                  possible.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>In reality, however, the =
choices of the=20
                  household are not as straightforward as this stylized =
example.=20
                  First, the year of death is unknown for both husband =
and wife,=20
                  so a married couple's choice of when to claim benefits =
depends=20
                  on the probabilities (P) assigned to four outcomes: =
(1)=20
                  P(Husband Alive, Wife Alive), (2) P(Husband Alive, =
Wife Dead),=20
                  (3) P(Husband Dead, Wife Alive), and (4) P(Husband =
Dead, Wife=20
                  Dead). These are properly modeled in the following =
section=20
                  (Table 4, p. 62). Second, the figure shows the =
undiscounted=20
                  real benefits. Third, in the stylized example, the =
survivor's=20
                  benefits are determined solely by when her husband =
claims his=20
                  own benefits. This is also generally true, with the =
notable=20
                  exception being when the husband dies before the wife =
reaches=20
                  the full retirement age, the point at which the =
reductions=20
                  shown in the sidebar would apply.</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><IMG =
id=3D||CPIMAGE:54547|=20
                  height=3D309 alt=3D"Table 4" hspace=3D0=20
                  =
src=3D"http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2007_Issues/images/Munnell_=
Table_4.jpg"=20
                  width=3D556 border=3D0></SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>Maximizing the =
Expected=20
                  Present Discounted Value of Future Benefits</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>If the main goal of =
married=20
                  couples is to maximize the expected present discounted =
value=20
                  of Social Security benefits, the joint decision as to =
when to=20
                  claim benefits depends on their relative primary =
insurance=20
                  amounts and the age difference between the =
two.<SUP>8</SUP>=20
                  Table 4 shows the combination of ages at which married =
men and=20
                  women should claim benefits to maximize the expected =
present=20
                  discounted value of Social Security=20
                  benefits.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>Each of these claim/age =
combinations=20
                  maximizes the present discounted value of the expected =

                  benefits that the household receives after the husband =
reaches=20
                  age 62. Consistent with the actuarial adjustment of =
Social=20
                  Security, the discounted rate is 3 percent real, and =
for=20
                  mortality the calculations use the Social Security=20
                  Administration's 1948-cohort tables. The actuarial =
reductions=20
                  and delayed credits are those for the cohort =
1943=961954 for the=20
                  main earner and spouse's benefit and 1945=961956 for =
survivors.=20
                  The percent of households was estimated using the HRS. =
The=20
                  remainder (9.7 percent) of households are those where =
the=20
                  female PIA is higher than the male PIA. Both members =
of the=20
                  household are assumed to be alive with a probability =
of 1=20
                  until the husband reaches age 62. There are four =
possible=20
                  outcomes: (1) P(Husband Alive, Wife Alive), (2) =
P(Husband=20
                  Alive, Wife Dead), (3) P(Husband Dead, Wife Alive), =
and (4)=20
                  P(Husband Dead, Wife Dead). For outcomes one and two, =
the=20
                  calculations follow the rules of the program. For =
outcome=20
                  three, the survivor's benefit reduction, given the =
husband's=20
                  benefit, is calculated as the weighted average of the=20
                  reductions at each age combination before the wife =
reaches the=20
                  full retirement age, given the probability that the =
husband=20
                  will die before that point. This expected reduction is =
then=20
                  multiplied by the actuarial reduction applied to the =
husband's=20
                  PIA because of his age of claiming to obtain the total =

                  survivor's (wife's) reduction relative to the =
husband's=20
                  PIA.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>For ease of exposition, these =
calculations=20
                  assume that the primary insurance amount is unaffected =
by the=20
                  age in which benefits are claimed. In reality, if =
individuals=20
                  delay retirement, additional earnings would enter the =
PIA=20
                  formula and might increase the PIA. This means, for =
example,=20
                  that the wife should take into consideration the =
expected=20
                  effect of an extra year of earnings on the ratio of =
PIA. Then,=20
                  the decision of the optimal age to claim benefit =
should be=20
                  based in the expected PIA ratio.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>The =
results=20
                  suggest that married men should in most cases delay =
claiming=20
                  Social Security benefits until age 69.<SUP>9</SUP> The =

                  intuition is that the delay of claiming by the husband =

                  increases the value of the survivor's benefits more =
than it=20
                  reduces the man's own benefit because of his lower =
life=20
                  expectancy.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>In terms of the wife's =
decision, the=20
                  optimal claiming age depends on her earnings relative =
to her=20
                  husband's. If the wife's earnings produce a benefit =
equal to=20
                  40 percent or more of her husband's, she should claim =
benefits=20
                  as early as possible. The intuition is that once the =
woman=20
                  reaches some moderate level of benefits, she maximizes =
the=20
                  lifetime value of this component by claiming early =
because she=20
                  receives these benefits only over the relatively short =

                  expected lifetime of her husband. That is, her time =
frame for=20
                  claiming her own benefits and her spouse's benefit is =
the life=20
                  expectancy of her husband. Once he dies, she claims =
the=20
                  survivor benefit, which is maximized by his claiming =
at age=20
                  69. About half of all married women fall into this=20
                  category.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>The next category is where the =
wife's=20
                  earnings produce unreduced Social Security benefits =
equal to=20
                  between 30 and 40 percent of her husband's benefits. =
This=20
                  group accounts for 10 percent of all married women. =
Again,=20
                  optimizing behavior requires that the husband defer =
claiming=20
                  for at least a year in order to maximize the =
survivor's=20
                  benefit. In terms of the wife's decision, if the age=20
                  difference is significant, she should elect to take =
benefits=20
                  at the earliest possible age. Because she is so much =
younger=20
                  than her husband, the span over which she can expect =
to=20
                  receive her actuarially reduced small benefit based on =
her own=20
                  earnings and her actuarially reduced spouse's benefit =
is very=20
                  short. In other words, for this decision, she is like =
a man=20
                  with a very short life expectancy. At the other =
extreme, when=20
                  the wife and husband are the same age, the wife should =
wait=20
                  until the full retirement age (here assumed to be 66). =
The=20
                  intuition is that the couple will spend most of the =
retirement=20
                  period together, and the goal is to maximize the =
couple's=20
                  benefit=97the survivor's benefits become less =
important. By=20
                  waiting, the wife will get 100 percent of her benefit =
and,=20
                  more importantly, when her husband retires the =
household will=20
                  receive nearly 160 percent of his PIA=9750 percent =
spousal=20
                  benefit plus 108 percent for his delayed retirement =
credit=20
                  from claiming at 67.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>The final category =
is where=20
                  the wife's primary insurance amount is less than a =
third of=20
                  the husband's. In this case, the only meaningful =
benefit is=20
                  the spouse's benefit. To claim the spouse's benefit, =
her=20
                  husband must retire. If the age difference is =
significant, the=20
                  husband should defer until age 68 so that the wife =
will have=20
                  the largest benefit for her expected extensive period =
as a=20
                  survivor. The wife again should claim as early as =
possible to=20
                  maximize the benefits over her husband's relatively =
short life=20
                  expectancy. At the other extreme, if the husband and =
wife are=20
                  the same age, they will spend most of their retirement =

                  together. In this case, the survivor's benefit becomes =
less=20
                  important, so the husband should claim at the full =
retirement=20
                  age, and the wife should again claim as soon as=20
                  possible.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>In short, the foregoing =
analysis=20
                  demonstrates that, in most cases, the structure of =
Social=20
                  Security benefits makes it advantageous for married =
women to=20
                  claim benefits as early as possible. When they have =
meaningful=20
                  earnings, they can claim at 62. When they have =
virtually no=20
                  earnings, they need to wait until their husband =
retires to=20
                  claim. The question, as always, is whether people =
really=20
                  undertake these detailed actuarial calculations before =
they=20
                  make decisions. Therefore, it is worth considering an=20
                  alternative or reinforcing factor that may lead to =
women=20
                  retiring early=97namely, joint =
decision-making.</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>Joint=20
                  Decision-Making</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Reinforcing the =
incentives in the=20
                  Social Security program is the fact that husbands and =
wives=20
                  appear to coordinate their retirement. That is, =
married women=20
                  facing the prospect of retirement are likely to =
coordinate=20
                  their withdrawal from the labor force with that of =
their=20
                  husband. To the extent that their husbands are =
generally=20
                  older, women may face pressure to retire earlier than =
they=20
                  would otherwise. Interestingly, Social Security's =
earliest=20
                  eligibility age (EEA) of 62 was established in 1956 =
for women,=20
                  primarily as a way for husbands and wives, who were =
presumed=20
                  to be two to three years younger than their husbands, =
to claim=20
                  benefits at the same time.<SUP>10</SUP><BR>&nbsp;<BR>A =
growing=20
                  number of studies have examined how husbands and wives =

                  coordinate their retirement decisions.<SUP>11</SUP> =
These=20
                  studies show that spouses tend to retire at the same =
time,=20
                  generally because they want to spend time together. =
That is,=20
                  when husbands and wives view the trade-off between the =
costs=20
                  of forgone leisure and the benefits of increased =
income from=20
                  paid employment, they place greater weight on the =
leisure when=20
                  they can spend it with their spouses.<SUP>12</SUP> =
Economists=20
                  have been unable to find any support for alternative=20
                  hypotheses, such as husbands and wives have the same =
taste for=20
                  work and leisure or that they face the same financial=20
                  incentives.<SUP>13</SUP><BR>&nbsp;<BR>The fact that =
couples=20
                  generally retire together reinforces the incentives in =
the=20
                  Social Security program for married women to withdraw =
from the=20
                  labor force at young ages.</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><SPAN=20
                  =
class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>Conclusion<BR></SPAN>&nbsp;<BR>Social=20
                  Security benefits are actuarially equivalent for an =
individual=20
                  with average mortality=97in theory, individuals should =
be=20
                  indifferent about when to claim benefits. The average=20
                  individual's life expectancy is somewhere between the =
life=20
                  expectancy of men and the life expectancy of women. =
Since=20
                  actuarial adjustments are not gender-specific, women =
(who are=20
                  expected to live longer than the "average individual") =
can=20
                  increase the present discounted value of benefits by =
delaying=20
                  claiming. Men, on the other hand (since they live =
shorter=20
                  lives than the "average individual") should claim as =
early as=20
                  possible. But the main insight from this paper is that =
there=20
                  is also an optimal claiming pattern for married =
couples. And=20
                  it is not completely intuitive: to maximize the =
present=20
                  discounted value of Social Security benefits for the =
married=20
                  couples, males should generally delay claiming and =
women=20
                  should generally claim as early as =
possible.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>To=20
                  the extent that the availability of Social Security =
benefits=20
                  causes women to withdraw from the labor force earlier =
than=20
                  they would otherwise, they face a less secure =
retirement. The=20
                  inadequacy of retirement income will become an =
increasingly=20
                  serious problem in the future as replacement rates =
under=20
                  Social Security decline and retirees are forced to =
rely=20
                  increasingly on accumulations in defined-contribution =
plans,=20
                  such as 401(k) plans as opposed to traditional =
defined-benefit=20
                  plans.</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>Endnotes</SPAN></P>
                  <OL>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Under current law, =
the=20
                    procedure to calculate initial benefits involves =
four steps.=20
                    First, a worker's previous earnings are restated in =
terms of=20
                    today's wages by indexing past earnings to wage =
growth.=20
                    Second, earnings for the highest 35 years are then =
averaged=20
                    and divided by 12 to calculate average indexed =
monthly=20
                    earnings. Third, the Social Security benefit formula =
is=20
                    applied to average indexed monthly earnings to yield =
the=20
                    primary insurance amount (PIA)=97the benefit payable =
at the=20
                    full retirement age. Finally, benefits are adjusted =
to=20
                    produce permanently lower benefits for those who =
claim=20
                    before the full retirement age, and higher benefits =
for=20
                    those who delay retirement.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Benefits are reduced =
by 5/9 of=20
                    1 percent for each month they are received prior to =
the full=20
                    retirement age up to 36 months, and 5/12 of 1 =
percent for=20
                    each month thereafter. This is equivalent to a 6.67 =
percent=20
                    reduction for the first three years before the full=20
                    retirement age and 5 percent thereafter. Remarkably, =
these=20
                    reductions have remained close to actuarially fair =
despite=20
                    the changes in mortality and interest rates (Jivan=20
                    2004).</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>The full retirement =
age is=20
                    scheduled to increase from age 65 to age 67 by 2022. =
The=20
                    increase began with individuals born in 1938, for =
whom the=20
                    full retirement age is 65 plus 2 months, and =
increases 2=20
                    months a year until it reaches age 66. Then, after a =
12-year=20
                    hiatus, the full retirement age again increases by 2 =
months=20
                    a year until it reaches age 67 for individuals born =
in 1960=20
                    or later.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>This paper uses the =
term=20
                    <EM>actuarially fair</EM> "in the sense that the =
total value=20
                    of the reduced monthly benefits that an average =
worker could=20
                    expect to receive between age 62 and death is =
similar to the=20
                    total value of the full monthly benefits that the =
worker=20
                    could expect to receive over that time by waiting =
until he=20
                    or she was eligible for full benefits." See =
Congressional=20
                    Budget Office (2001).</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>These numbers =
represent the age=20
                    at which different cohorts claim Social Security =
benefits.=20
                    They should be interpreted as an approximation to =
the=20
                    percent of individuals of a given cohort claiming =
Social=20
                    Security benefits at a particular age.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Consistent with this =
idea,=20
                    Delavande, Perry, and Willis (2006) show that =
people's=20
                    beliefs about their personal survival chances have =
an effect=20
                    on Social Security benefit claiming.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>The Health and =
Retirement Study=20
                    (HRS) is conducted by the Institute for Social =
Research at=20
                    the University of Michigan. The HRS is a nationally=20
                    representative data set of about 12,650 individuals =
from=20
                    about 7,600 households. This study began in 1992 by=20
                    interviewing people ages 51=9661 and their spouses =
(regardless=20
                    of age). The survey has been re-administered every =
two=20
                    years. For a detailed overview of the survey, see =
Juster and=20
                    Suzman (1995).</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>The analysis here =
assumes that=20
                    households maximize the net present value of Social =
Security=20
                    benefits. They could, instead, maximize Social =
Security=20
                    wealth net of payroll taxes. For example, Diamond =
and Gruber=20
                    (1999) estimate Social Security wealth at different =
ages net=20
                    of any payroll taxes paid after age 55. Assuming a =
delayed=20
                    retirement credit of 5 percent, they find that =
married=20
                    couples have incentives to claim at age 64 and =
estimate=20
                    implied tax rates of around 50 percent for those who =
delay=20
                    retirement after the full retirement age.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>The fact that the =
optimal=20
                    retirement age is 69 and not 70 is likely to be the =
product=20
                    of an imperfect actuarial adjustment for delayed =
retirement.=20
                    Our simulations conducted for single women show that =
with an=20
                    8 percent actuarial credit, the optimal age to =
retire should=20
                    be 68, despite their longer life expectancies. See =
also=20
                    Coile et al. (2002).</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>The Congressional =
Budget Office=20
                    reports the following: "According to Robert J. =
Myers, the=20
                    Chief Actuary of the Social Security Administration =
from=20
                    1947 to 1970, the reduction in the earliest =
eligibility age=20
                    for women in 1956 resulted from a 'domino' effect: a =
desire=20
                    to help widows under 65 and a desire to provide =
immediate=20
                    spousal benefits to wives who were younger than =
their=20
                    husbands resulted in pressure to reduce the =
eligibility ages=20
                    for those types of benefits; then, it seemed unfair =
to=20
                    require female workers to wait until a later age for =

                    benefits than female non-workers. The pressure to =
reduce the=20
                    eligibility age for men in 1961 resulted from the =
high=20
                    unemployment of that period (CBO, 2000)."</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Blau (1998), using =
the=20
                    Retirement History Survey, found that among 30 to 40 =
percent=20
                    of married couples the spouses left the labor force =
within a=20
                    year of each other. Hurd (1988), using the Social =
Security=20
                    Administration's New Benefit Survey, estimated that =
in=20
                    one-quarter of couples the husband and wives retired =
within=20
                    one year of each other. Johnson and Favreault =
(2001),=20
                    looking at married couples in the 1998 wave of the =
Health=20
                    and Retirement Study, calculated that between 22 and =
40=20
                    percent of husbands and wives retired within two =
years of=20
                    each other.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Models estimated by =
Gustman and=20
                    Steinmeier (2000) and Hurd (1988) support the =
hypothesis=20
                    that husbands and wives view their own leisure and =
that of=20
                    their spouse as complementary. Coile (2000), using =
the=20
                    Health and Retirement Study, found that people not =
only=20
                    respond to the financial incentives created by their =
own=20
                    Social Security and employer-provided benefits, but =
also to=20
                    spillover effects from their spouses' incentives. =
Coile=20
                    interpreted these results as an indication that =
spouses are=20
                    eager to coordinate their retirements.</SPAN>
                    <LI><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Hurd (1988) and =
Gustman and=20
                    Steinmeier (2000).</SPAN></LI></OL>
                  <P><SPAN =
class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>References</SPAN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText>Blau, David M. 1998. =
"Labor Force=20
                  Dynamics of Older Married Couples." <EM>Journal of =
Labor=20
                  Economics</EM> 16: 595=96629.<BR><BR>Clements, =
Jonathan. 2006.=20
                  "Squeezing the Most Out of Social Security." <EM>Wall =
Street=20
                  Journal</EM> July 2, 2006.<BR><BR>Coile, Courtney, =
Peter=20
                  Diamond, Jonathan Gruber, and Alan Josten. 2002. =
"Delays in=20
                  Claiming Social Security Benefits." <EM>Journal of =
Public=20
                  Economics</EM> 84, 3 (June): 357=96386.<BR><BR>Coile, =
Courtney.=20
                  2003. "Retirement Incentives and Couples' Retirement=20
                  Decisions." Working Paper No. 2003-04. Chestnut Hill, =
MA:=20
                  Center for Retirement Research at Boston=20
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Robert J.=20
                  Willis. 2006. "Probabilistic Thinking and Early Social =

                  Security Claiming." Working paper. Michigan Retirement =

                  Research Center. University of =
Michigan.<BR><BR>Diamond, Peter=20
                  and Jonathan Gruber. 1999. "Social Security and =
Retirement in=20
                  the United States" in Jonathan Gruber and David A. =
Wise eds.,=20
                  <EM>Social Security and Retirement around the =
World</EM>. The=20
                  University of Chicago Press.<BR><BR>Congressional =
Budget=20
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for Social=20
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id=3DCPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,location=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,men=
ubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D1@http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/10xx/doc=
1058/ssage.pdf|=20
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href=3D"javascript:HandleLink('cpe_9332_0','CPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,lo=
cation=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,menubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D=
1@http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/10xx/doc1058/ssage.pdf');">javascript:Handle=
Link('cpe_9332_0','CPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,location=3D1,directory=3D0,=
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ubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D1@http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/32xx/doc=
3213/EntireReport.pdf|=20
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 "=20
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cation=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,menubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D=
1@http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/32xx/doc3213/EntireReport.pdf');">javascript=
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Family=20
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503=9645.<BR><BR>Hurd,=20
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Husbands=20
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National=20
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W. and=20
                  Melissa M. Favreault. 2001. "Retiring Together or =
Working=20
                  Alone: The Impact of Spousal Employment and Disability =
on=20
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Chestnut=20
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                  College.<BR><BR>Juster, F. Thomas and Richard Suzman. =
1995.=20
                  "An Overview of the Health and Retirement Study." =
<EM>Journal=20
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S7=96S56.<BR><BR>U.S.=20
                  Social Security Administration. 2005. <EM>Social =
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id=3DCPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,location=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,men=
ubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D1@http://www.ssa.gov/planners|=20
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cation=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,menubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D=
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U.S.=20
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comps/supplement/2004/supplement04.pdf|=20
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upplement04.pdf'; "=20
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cation=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,menubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D=
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df');">javascript:HandleLink('cpe_9332_0','CPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,loc=
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df');</A>.<BR><BR>U.S.=20
                  Social Security Administration. 2005. <EM>The</EM> =
<EM>2005=20
                  Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Old Age =
and=20
                  Survivors and Disability Insurance Trust Funds</EM>. =
Available=20
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5.pdf|=20
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                  onmouseout=3D" return self.status=3D''; "=20
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href=3D"javascript:HandleLink('cpe_9332_0','CPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,lo=
cation=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,menubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D=
1@http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR05/tr05.pdf');">javascript:HandleLink('cpe=
_9332_0','CPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,location=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D=
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Study</EM>.=20
                  Available at <A=20
                  =
id=3DCPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,location=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,men=
ubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D1@http://hrsonline.isr.umich.edu|=20
                  onmouseover=3D" return =
self.status=3D'http://hrsonline.isr.umich.edu'; "=20
                  onmouseout=3D" return self.status=3D''; "=20
                  =
href=3D"javascript:HandleLink('cpe_9332_0','CPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,lo=
cation=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,menubar=3D1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D=
1@http://hrsonline.isr.umich.edu');">javascript:HandleLink('cpe_9332_0','=
CPNEWWIN:child^toolbar=3D1,location=3D1,directory=3D0,status=3D1,menubar=3D=
1,scrollbars=3D1,resizable=3D1@http://hrsonline.isr.umich.edu');</A>.</SP=
AN></P>
                  <P><SPAN class=3DJorGenPgText><SPAN=20
                  =
class=3DJorGenPgSubHeadr>Acknowledgment<BR></SPAN><BR><EM>The=20
                  authors would like to thank Peter Diamond for helpful =
comments=20
                  and Roberto Medina for explaining Social Security =
rules. The=20
                  authors also thank four anonymous reviewers for useful =

                  comments.</EM></SPAN></P>
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